Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tyson Griffin
Evan Dunham
58%
42%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Griffin: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Dunham: 28 sig / 3 TD
Tyson Griffin
Evan Dunham
30
Sig strikes landed
28
86
Sig strikes attempted
71
42
Total strikes landed
48
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
70s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Tyson Griffin
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
W1
Evan Dunham
19-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—