Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mac Danzig
Matt Wiman
60%
40%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Danzig: 4 sig / 1 TD ·
Wiman: 4 sig / 0 TD
Mac Danzig
Matt Wiman
52
Sig strikes landed
43
106
Sig strikes attempted
104
77
Total strikes landed
58
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
216s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mac Danzig
22-12-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 109: Relentless
—
Blue corner
Matt Wiman
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27