Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zach Underwood
Hunter Worsham
70%
30%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zach Underwood
Hunter Worsham
42
Sig strikes landed
42
107
Sig strikes attempted
98
56
Total strikes landed
58
1.1
Takedowns landed
3.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
136s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Zach Underwood
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Blue corner
Hunter Worsham
"The Future"
0-0
Career record