Back to Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
Light Heavyweight

Francisco France vs Lee Brousseau

Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery ·Enterprise Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Francisco France
Lee Brousseau
92% 8%
Why
27
Age
Δ 8y
36

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Francisco France
Lee Brousseau
48
Sig strikes landed
43
104
Sig strikes attempted
96
69
Total strikes landed
60
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
160s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Francisco France

"Kiko"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
27
Blue corner

Lee Brousseau

"Manimal"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Age
36