Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Chandler
Salvador Woods
97%
3%
Why
24
Age
Δ 1y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Michael Chandler
Salvador Woods
57
Sig strikes landed
37
126
Sig strikes attempted
103
83
Total strikes landed
46
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
191s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Michael Chandler
"Iron"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
Salvador Woods
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
25