Light Heavyweight
Rafael Cavalcante vs Antwain Britt
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rafael Cavalcante
Antwain Britt
80%
20%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cavalcante: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Britt: 15 sig / 0 TD
Rafael Cavalcante
Antwain Britt
42
Sig strikes landed
42
105
Sig strikes attempted
107
60
Total strikes landed
56
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Rafael Cavalcante
"Feijao"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Antwain Britt
"The Juggernaut"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Age
32