Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Dan Miller
85%
15%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
30-10
Career record
Δ 14 pp
14-9
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bisping: 76 sig / 0 TD ·
Miller: 50 sig / 1 TD
Michael Bisping
Dan Miller
44
Sig strikes landed
41
93
Sig strikes attempted
95
55
Total strikes landed
49
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
82s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Dan Miller
14-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 109: Relentless
—