Main
Light Heavyweight
Quinton Jackson vs Rashad Evans
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Quinton Jackson
Rashad Evans
83%
17%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jackson: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Evans: 29 sig / 3 TD
Quinton Jackson
Rashad Evans
26
Sig strikes landed
26
59
Sig strikes attempted
71
50
Total strikes landed
58
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.9
0.8
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
88s
Control time
240s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Quinton Jackson
"Rampage"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
W1
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
20-8-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
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