Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Yoshiyuki Yoshida
Mike Guymon
54%
46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
36
Age
Δ 0y
36
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yoshida: 7 sig / 1 TD ·
Guymon: 59 sig / 3 TD
Yoshiyuki Yoshida
Mike Guymon
34
Sig strikes landed
27
63
Sig strikes attempted
68
48
Total strikes landed
40
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
105s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Yoshiyuki Yoshida
"Zenko"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
Blue corner
L1
Mike Guymon
"The Joker"
15-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
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