Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
KJ Noons
Andre Amado
61%
39%
Why
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Noons: 89 sig / 0 TD ·
Amado: 48 sig / 0 TD
KJ Noons
Andre Amado
37
Sig strikes landed
36
76
Sig strikes attempted
75
56
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
178s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
KJ Noons
"King"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Andre Amado
"Dida"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27