Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Takeya Mizugaki
Rani Yahya
43%
57%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
26
Age
Δ 1y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mizugaki: 40 sig / 2 TD ·
Yahya: 17 sig / 6 TD
Takeya Mizugaki
Rani Yahya
36
Sig strikes landed
36
83
Sig strikes attempted
78
53
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
167s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Takeya Mizugaki
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Rani Yahya
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26