Back to WEC 48: Aldo vs. Faber
Featherweight

Brandon Visher vs Tyler Toner

WEC 48: Aldo vs. Faber ·Sleep Train Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Brandon Visher
Tyler Toner
63% 37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Visher: 8 sig / 0 TD · Toner: 31 sig / 0 TD
Brandon Visher
Tyler Toner
37
Sig strikes landed
37
75
Sig strikes attempted
78
51
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
140s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Brandon Visher

"The Viper"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Tyler Toner

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27