Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yushin Okami
Lucio Linhares
86%
14%
Why
29
Age
Δ 8y
36
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Okami: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Linhares: 8 sig / 0 TD
Yushin Okami
Lucio Linhares
38
Sig strikes landed
31
74
Sig strikes attempted
70
55
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Yushin Okami
"Thunder"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
Blue corner
Lucio Linhares
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36