Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jacob Volkmann
Ronys Torres
20%
80%
Why
30
Age
Δ 5y
35
19-8
Career record
Δ 15 pp
35-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Volkmann: 24 sig / 5 TD ·
Torres: 20 sig / 3 TD
Jacob Volkmann
Ronys Torres
28
Sig strikes landed
24
53
Sig strikes attempted
63
39
Total strikes landed
56
1.8
Takedowns landed
2.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
6.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
144s
Control time
282s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jacob Volkmann
"Christmas"
19-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
L1
Ronys Torres
35-6
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 109: Relentless
—