Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rodney Wallace
Jared Hamman
62%
38%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wallace: 34 sig / 11 TD ·
Hamman: 60 sig / 2 TD
Rodney Wallace
Jared Hamman
33
Sig strikes landed
33
66
Sig strikes attempted
74
55
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
132s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Rodney Wallace
"Shonuff the Master"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
Blue corner
Jared Hamman
"The Messenger"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28