Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mike Brown
Anthony Morrison
66%
34%
Why
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Brown: 0 sig / 1 TD ·
Morrison: 2 sig / 0 TD
Mike Brown
Anthony Morrison
34
Sig strikes landed
38
74
Sig strikes attempted
83
50
Total strikes landed
54
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
165s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mike Brown
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner
Anthony Morrison
"Cheesesteak"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26