Back to WEC 46: Varner vs. Henderson
Featherweight

Deividas Taurosevicius vs Mackens Semerzier

WEC 46: Varner vs. Henderson ·Sleep Train Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Deividas Taurosevicius
Mackens Semerzier
69% 31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taurosevicius: 33 sig / 5 TD · Semerzier: 27 sig / 1 TD
Deividas Taurosevicius
Mackens Semerzier
39
Sig strikes landed
35
76
Sig strikes attempted
76
56
Total strikes landed
43
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
181s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Deividas Taurosevicius

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
Blue corner

Mackens Semerzier

"Da Menace"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29