Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Wagnney Fabiano
Clint Godfrey
56%
44%
Why
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fabiano: 10 sig / 3 TD ·
Godfrey: 7 sig / 0 TD
Wagnney Fabiano
Clint Godfrey
38
Sig strikes landed
38
77
Sig strikes attempted
81
51
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
159s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Wagnney Fabiano
"The Silencer"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
Blue corner
Clint Godfrey
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27