Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Eddie Wineland
George Roop
74%
26%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
26
Age
Δ 3y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wineland: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Roop: 35 sig / 0 TD
Eddie Wineland
George Roop
37
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
84
59
Total strikes landed
48
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Eddie Wineland
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
George Roop
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28