Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
David Gomez
Craig Oxley
94%
6%
Why
26
Age
Δ 10y
37
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
David Gomez
Craig Oxley
39
Sig strikes landed
39
101
Sig strikes attempted
89
56
Total strikes landed
54
3.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
182s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
David Gomez
0-0
Career record
Age
27
Blue corner
Craig Oxley
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Age
37