Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mirko Filipovic
Anthony Perosh
91%
9%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
35
Age
Δ 2y
37
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Filipovic: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Perosh: 9 sig / 0 TD
Mirko Filipovic
Anthony Perosh
36
Sig strikes landed
29
68
Sig strikes attempted
67
54
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
140s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mirko Filipovic
"Cro Cop"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
Blue corner
Anthony Perosh
"The Hippo"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37