Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Amir Sadollah
Brad Blackburn
55%
45%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
29
Age
Δ 3y
33
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sadollah: 87 sig / 2 TD ·
Blackburn: 37 sig / 0 TD
Amir Sadollah
Brad Blackburn
35
Sig strikes landed
40
82
Sig strikes attempted
82
45
Total strikes landed
56
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
100s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Amir Sadollah
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Brad Blackburn
"Bad Brad"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33