Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Junior Dos Santos
Gilbert Yvel
44%
56%
Why
77"
Reach
77"
26
Age
Δ 8y
34
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dos Santos: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Yvel: 3 sig / 0 TD
Junior Dos Santos
Gilbert Yvel
37
Sig strikes landed
31
76
Sig strikes attempted
67
54
Total strikes landed
45
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
119s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Gilbert Yvel
"The Hurricane"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34