Back to UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
Prelims1 Welterweight

Martin Kampmann vs Jacob Volkmann

UFC 108: Evans vs Silva ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Martin Kampmann
Jacob Volkmann
61% 39%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Kampmann: 14 sig / 0 TD · Volkmann: 13 sig / 0 TD
Martin Kampmann
Jacob Volkmann
38
Sig strikes landed
33
80
Sig strikes attempted
70
52
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
123s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Martin Kampmann

"The Hitman"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Jacob Volkmann

"Christmas"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29