Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Dan Lauzon
47%
53%
Why
26
Age
Δ 4y
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Miller: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Lauzon: 10 sig / 1 TD
Cole Miller
Dan Lauzon
37
Sig strikes landed
36
81
Sig strikes attempted
74
52
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
115s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Dan Lauzon
"The Upgrade"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22