Back to UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr
Prelims1 Welterweight

Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr ·Etihad Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Islam Dulatov
Wellington Turman
66% 34%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
13-1
Career record
Δ 26 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
L3
1
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Islam Dulatov
Wellington Turman
34
Sig strikes landed
22
68
Sig strikes attempted
45
47
Total strikes landed
21
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
58s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Islam Dulatov

"The Ripper"
13-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
Blue corner
L3

Wellington Turman

"The Prodigy"
18-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—