Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Steve Erceg
Ramazan Temirov
35%
65%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 5"
63"
31
Age
Δ 2y
30
15-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-3
W2
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Erceg: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Temirov: 27 sig / 0 TD
Steve Erceg
Ramazan Temirov
46
Sig strikes landed
55
129
Sig strikes attempted
131
53
Total strikes landed
61
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
64s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Steve Erceg
"Astroboy"
15-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
L
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
Blue corner
W2
Ramazan Temirov
"Temurlan"
20-3
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—