Back to UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr
Prelims1 Flyweight

Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Steve Erceg
Ramazan Temirov
38% 62%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 5"
63"
31
Age
Δ 2y
30
15-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-3
W2
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Steve Erceg
Ramazan Temirov
47
Sig strikes landed
56
130
Sig strikes attempted
129
54
Total strikes landed
59
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
70s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Steve Erceg

"Astroboy"
15-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalen…
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W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
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L UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
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L UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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L UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
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Blue corner
W2

Ramazan Temirov

"Temurlan"
20-3
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
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W UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
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