Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Magomed Tuchalov
Brendson Ribeiro
63%
37%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
81"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
—
Current streak
L3
0
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tuchalov: 35 sig / 8 TD ·
Ribeiro: 39 sig / 0 TD
Magomed Tuchalov
Brendson Ribeiro
26
Sig strikes landed
30
55
Sig strikes attempted
62
51
Total strikes landed
38
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
128s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Magomed Tuchalov
"Tiger"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L3
Brendson Ribeiro
"The Gorilla"
17-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Du…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
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L
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—