Main
Heavyweight
Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valter Walker
Thomas Petersen
78%
22%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
29
Age
Δ 3y
31
16-1
Career record
Δ 19 pp
12-4
W4
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Valter Walker
Thomas Petersen
23
Sig strikes landed
12
38
Sig strikes attempted
17
46
Total strikes landed
29
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
214s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Valter Walker
"The Clean Monster"
16-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
Blue corner
W1
Thomas Petersen
"The Train"
12-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Du…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. G…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—