Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Rizvan Kuniev
Tyrell Fortune
51%
49%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
14-3-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-3
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Kuniev: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
Fortune: 20 sig / 0 TD
Rizvan Kuniev
Tyrell Fortune
27
Sig strikes landed
38
65
Sig strikes attempted
76
46
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.3
2.7
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
131s
Control time
207s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rizvan Kuniev
14-3-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. O…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
Blue corner
W1
Tyrell Fortune
19-3
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. P…
—