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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Borislav Nikolic vs Mark Vologdin

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez ·Belgrade Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Borislav Nikolic
Mark Vologdin
67% 33%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 8"
65"
34
Age
Δ 7y
26
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Current streak
D1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nikolic: 57 sig / 1 TD · Vologdin: 42 sig / 3 TD
Borislav Nikolic
Mark Vologdin
40
Sig strikes landed
33
81
Sig strikes attempted
71
56
Total strikes landed
51
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
139s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Borislav Nikolic

"Zombee"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner
D1

Mark Vologdin

12-4-3
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
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