Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dennis Buzukja
Bogdan Grad
43%
57%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
12-7
Career record
Δ 12 pp
15-5
L2
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Dennis Buzukja
Bogdan Grad
34
Sig strikes landed
35
74
Sig strikes attempted
66
46
Total strikes landed
59
1.8
Takedowns landed
2.5
0.9
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
89s
Control time
239s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Dennis Buzukja
"The Great"
12-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
L2
Bogdan Grad
"The Unleashed"
15-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—