Back to UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Main Middleweight

Vlasto Cepo vs Gilbert Urbina

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez ·Belgrade Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Vlasto Cepo
Gilbert Urbina
89% 11%
Why
32
Age
Δ 1y
30
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Vlasto Cepo
Gilbert Urbina
53
Sig strikes landed
34
95
Sig strikes attempted
82
67
Total strikes landed
50
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
152s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Vlasto Cepo

"El Chapo"
0-0
Career record
Age
32
Blue corner
L2

Gilbert Urbina

"The RGV Bad Boy"
7-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
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