Back to UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Main Middleweight

Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez ·Belgrade Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dusko Todorovic
Robert Valentin
61% 39%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
14-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-6
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Dusko Todorovic
Robert Valentin
26
Sig strikes landed
25
42
Sig strikes attempted
54
46
Total strikes landed
34
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
36%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Dusko Todorovic

"Thunder"
14-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
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L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
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L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
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W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
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Blue corner
W1

Robert Valentin

"Robzilla"
13-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malo…
—
L UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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