Featherweight
Kaan Ofli vs Javier Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
·National Gymnastics Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kaan Ofli
Javier Reyes
50%
50%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 7"
73"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
15-4-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
24-5
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Kaan Ofli
Javier Reyes
31
Sig strikes landed
48
71
Sig strikes attempted
90
33
Total strikes landed
67
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
118s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Kaan Ofli
"Genghis"
15-4-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. G…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Javier Reyes
"Blair"
24-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kav…
—