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Prelims1 Middleweight

Nursulton Ruziboev vs Andrey Pulyaev

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres ·National Gymnastics Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nursulton Ruziboev
Andrey Pulyaev
88% 12%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
33
Age
Δ 4y
29
37-9-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
10-5
W2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Nursulton Ruziboev
Andrey Pulyaev
37
Sig strikes landed
22
70
Sig strikes attempted
47
50
Total strikes landed
33
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
98s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Nursulton Ruziboev

"Black"
37-9-2 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
W UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
Blue corner
L1

Andrey Pulyaev

10-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
W UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
L UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…