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Prelims1 Welterweight

Farman Hasanov vs Eric Nolan

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres ·National Gymnastics Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Farman Hasanov
Eric Nolan
78% 22%
Why
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Farman Hasanov
Eric Nolan
51
Sig strikes landed
40
95
Sig strikes attempted
93
85
Total strikes landed
52
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
150s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Farman Hasanov

0-0
Career record
Age
31
Blue corner
L1

Eric Nolan

"Nightime"
8-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev