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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Julius Walker

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres ·National Gymnastics Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Julius Walker
68% 32%
Why
78"
Reach
78"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
10-0
Career record
Δ 30 pp
7-3
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Julius Walker
29
Sig strikes landed
24
49
Sig strikes attempted
38
62
Total strikes landed
38
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
191s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
57%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

"The Hunter"
10-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Du…
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W UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Julius Walker

"Juice Box"
7-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. O…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
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