Prelims1
Bantamweight
Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
·National Gymnastics Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Bekzat Almakhan
Jean Matsumoto
35%
65%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
12-4
Career record
Δ 10 pp
17-3
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Bekzat Almakhan
Jean Matsumoto
44
Sig strikes landed
46
111
Sig strikes attempted
101
53
Total strikes landed
68
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
68s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bekzat Almakhan
"The Turan Warrior"
12-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jean Matsumoto
17-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. O…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—