Main
Middleweight
Ikram Aliskerov vs Brunno Ferreira
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
·National Gymnastics Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ikram Aliskerov
Brunno Ferreira
73%
27%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
34
Age
34
18-2
Career record
Δ 11 pp
15-4
W2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Aliskerov: 47 sig / 5 TD ·
Ferreira: 19 sig / 0 TD
Ikram Aliskerov
Brunno Ferreira
40
Sig strikes landed
20
72
Sig strikes attempted
46
47
Total strikes landed
28
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
60s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ikram Aliskerov
18-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
Blue corner
L1
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
15-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
—
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—