Back to UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Prelims1 Welterweight

Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Leon Shahbazyan
Levan Chokheli
44% 56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Shahbazyan: 0 sig / 0 TD · Chokheli: 6 sig / 0 TD
Leon Shahbazyan
Levan Chokheli
37
Sig strikes landed
33
78
Sig strikes attempted
68
50
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
99s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Leon Shahbazyan

"S.O.G."
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner

Levan Chokheli

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30