Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Vinicius Oliveira
21%
79%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
15-7
Career record
Δ 14 pp
23-5
L3
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Giga Chikadze
Vinicius Oliveira
61
Sig strikes landed
63
139
Sig strikes attempted
153
66
Total strikes landed
92
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
69s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
15-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
Blue corner
L1
Vinicius Oliveira
"LokDog"
23-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. O…
—
W
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—