Back to UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Karol Rosa
Luana Santos
58% 42%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
32
Age
Δ 5y
26
20-7
Career record
Δ 11 pp
11-2
W1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Karol Rosa
Luana Santos
55
Sig strikes landed
44
89
Sig strikes attempted
79
83
Total strikes landed
81
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
190s
Control time
224s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Karol Rosa

20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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W UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
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L UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2

Luana Santos

11-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
—
W UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
—
L UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—