Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Hyder Amil
Christian Rodriguez
48%
52%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
11-3
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-5
L2
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Hyder Amil
Christian Rodriguez
52
Sig strikes landed
54
100
Sig strikes attempted
109
67
Total strikes landed
67
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Hyder Amil
"The Hurricane"
11-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
—
L
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
L2
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
12-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—