Prelims1
Welterweight
Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Alvarez
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Chidi Njokuani
Joel Alvarez
42%
58%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
38
Age
Δ 4y
34
25-13
Career record
Δ 16 pp
23-5
L2
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Njokuani: 155 sig / 0 TD ·
Alvarez: 74 sig / 0 TD
Chidi Njokuani
Joel Alvarez
47
Sig strikes landed
47
92
Sig strikes attempted
96
59
Total strikes landed
62
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
69s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
Blue corner
L1
Joel Alvarez
"El Fenomeno"
23-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. G…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—