Main
Lightweight
Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Esteban Ribovics
34%
66%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 6"
69"
41
Age
Δ 10y
30
24-15
Career record
Δ 17 pp
15-4
L3
Current streak
L1
32
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Barboza: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Ribovics: 63 sig / 0 TD
Edson Barboza
Esteban Ribovics
78
Sig strikes landed
78
179
Sig strikes attempted
171
109
Total strikes landed
92
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
32 fights · 18-14
Last 5
L
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
L
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
Blue corner
L1
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
15-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—