Back to UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Prelims1 Catch Weight

Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry ·Xfinity Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Charles Johnson
Eduardo Chapolin
46% 54%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
36
Age
Δ 5y
31
L1
Current streak
—
15
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Johnson: 66 sig / 0 TD · Chapolin: 55 sig / 1 TD
Charles Johnson
Eduardo Chapolin
65
Sig strikes landed
50
120
Sig strikes attempted
99
76
Total strikes landed
66
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
85s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Charles Johnson

"InnerG"
19-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database 15 fights · 8-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Tor…
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W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Val…
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L UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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W UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
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L UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
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Blue corner

Eduardo Chapolin

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31