Main
Middleweight
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Dustin Stoltzfus
65%
35%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 5"
75"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
9-2-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
16-9
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Abdul-Malik: 34 sig / 1 TD ·
Stoltzfus: 43 sig / 2 TD
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Dustin Stoltzfus
30
Sig strikes landed
30
62
Sig strikes attempted
62
48
Total strikes landed
44
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mansur Abdul-Malik
9-2-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. P…
—
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
Blue corner
L2
Dustin Stoltzfus
16-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 3-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—