Main
Lightweight
Jalin Turner vs Kaue Fernandes
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jalin Turner
Kaue Fernandes
55%
45%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
16-9
Career record
Δ 22 pp
12-2
W1
Current streak
W3
14
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Turner: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Fernandes: 2 sig / 0 TD
Jalin Turner
Kaue Fernandes
46
Sig strikes landed
42
108
Sig strikes attempted
78
52
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
94s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
L
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
Blue corner
W3
Kaue Fernandes
12-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—