🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mackenzie Dern
Gillian Robertson
65%
35%
Why
63"
Reach
63"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
17-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-8
W3
Current streak
W5
16
UFC fights in our DB
20
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Dern: 65 sig / 4 TD ·
Robertson: 49 sig / 1 TD
Mackenzie Dern
Gillian Robertson
60
Sig strikes landed
52
121
Sig strikes attempted
124
81
Total strikes landed
90
1.1
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
6.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
175s
Control time
221s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Mackenzie Dern
17-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
Blue corner
W5
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
20 fights · 14-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Val…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—